The Influential Power of Uncertainty

by Andrew Hanelly on May 9, 2011

Nobody can possibly know everything.

And we tend to look through a thick lens of skepticism to anyone who claims they do (here’s looking at you, gurus, ninjas, and self-proclaimed experts).

It may be that we’re cynical toward braggarts and wary of for-profit prophets with an agenda hidden behind their proclamation of knowledge, but it could be something more.

According to new research from Zakary Tormala, “[people] don’t necessarily mistrust confident experts, but we’re more persuaded by experts who are not confident,” he said in an interview with Harvard Business Review. 

A description of the research:

“Subjects read a review that gave a new eatery four out of five stars. Half the subjects read a write-up by a professional food critic, and the other half, one by an amateur. Half of each group saw a review that was highly certain; the rest, a review that was tentative. The subjects were then asked how good they thought the restaurant would be … People who read the tentative professional review were willing to pay 56% more than people who’d read the highly certain professional review.”

It seems counterintuitive but there may be value in showing not playing your hand close to the vest and showing your audience what you’re holding – even if some of your cards are wild cards.

Admitting that you don’t know, but that you are committed to continually learning can be the most powerful promise you can make.

People can accept that experts don’t know everything. They are turned off when they claim they do. And they are most confident in an expert who is committed to improving, acquiring new knowledge, and staying as informed as possible.

[image: photomequickbooth]

This post originally appeared on hanelly.com.

Andrew Hanelly

Written by: Andrew Hanelly

Andrew is VP of Digital Experience at TMG and for one semester in college, was a sociology major. Follow him on Twitter and Google+.

  • http://B2BforHumans.com Marcus Schaller

    Wow, what a great point! With all the changes that we have to keep up with on a daily basis, what we’ve learned (past tense) quickly gives way to whaaaaaa? (present tense). The clients we all advise have the same issue, so of course they approach the self-proclaimed guru with healthy skepticism.

    Letting ourselves off the hook for not being all-knowing, all-powerful floating brains is the first and most important step to regaining our curiosity, admitting that we can’t know it all, and having a blast learning something new every day.

    • http://www.twitter.com/hanelly Andrew Hanelly

      Amen, Marcus. A giant red flag gets raised any time someone claims to be all-knowing – we know it’s just not possible – so we doubt everything else they say. But if you tell me “hey, I’m working on understanding this new thing that just came out” I can respect that, respect you, and in the end, trust you more for your honesty. Thanks for the comment!

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